Investor Tools
Portfolio Management
Startup Failure Rate Model
Set realistic outcome assumptions by stage and see the expected portfolio return.
Stage Preset
$
Outcome Distribution (100% total)
%
%
×
%
×
%
×
%
×
Expected Outcomes
Expected portfolio MOIC
6.80×
$68.0M on $10.0M deployed · 40% success rate
Write-offs (0×)$0
12 companies (60%)0.00× contribution
Small returns (1.5×)$3.0M
4 companies (18%)0.30× contribution
Good returns (5×)$5.0M
2 companies (12%)0.50× contribution
Great returns (20×)$10.0M
1 companies (7%)1.00× contribution
Outstanding (100×)$50.0M
1 companies (3%)5.00× contribution
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